Lastly, IMHO...the CHANGE UP is the #1 most important pitch to have...just ask the Lady Vols
What say you?
Hey, Keith, good thoughts.
I agree pretty strongly with your last statement (quoted above). But also think that your conclusion on this should change your ranking of what is rhe most challenging for a hitter.
From the perspective of challenging a hitter, I think - by FAR - that the most difficult adjustment is to the CHANGE of speed, especially if the release is similar (not telegraphed). A range of 12-15 mph across the span of pitches is just really, really tough for a hitter to handle.
To that point, your comment obout the change up is spot-on. There is an axiom in baseball that a pitcher can get by with ANY two pitches, as long as one of them is an extremely gfood change up. I don't think that is too far from the truth. Although the very best pitchers thropw a RANGE of speeds, not just 2 speeds. With these kinds of pitchers, no two speeds in an AB are the same.
Look at it like this: From pitch release until contact is about 0.45 seconds. An AWFULLY lot of things have to happen in that time frame for a hitter to make optimal contact. The complexity in this chaos environment and incredibly short time window is boggling. ADDITIONALLY, there is about a 0.015 second window to launch the swing and insure optimal contact. Less than 2/hundredths of a second (which actually represents about 18-24" of the ball's movement towards the plate).
And a range of pitch speed of 12-15 mph means that the optimal time to BEGIN the swing can vary by close to a tenth of a second. When you are talking about a swing which - in it's entirety - only takes about 50% longer than a tenth of a second, it's amazing a hitter EVER hits a ball. Just an incredible challenge.
I would rank location next, and movement just behind it. The two often work in concert anyway. BTW, a lot of girls have great control - to THEIR spot. That is good. The BEST pitchers have the ability to probe - and STRETCH - the umpire's zone, and to put the ball wherever that zone expands to. Wherever it may be. This is a different, more refined ability, and it is exceptional.
Really LATE movement might be an exception to the above, but it is rare. Most pitches can be read - in terms of how they are going to break - pretty early. And the brain fairly routinely tracks to this. Late movement is an exception - really tough. But again, really rare. In fact, I believe that movement is typically hard to hit because to make a pitch move, the pitcher probably creates a speed change as well.
Understanding that I am talking about Gold and college, so the numbers may vary (though not the principle): I think raw speed is not as difficult to adjust to, unless the pitcher
also changes speed. There of course are limits. If someone is throwing 67+ it's going to be challenging. Happens so rarely, though, it's barely worth it for a hitter to worry about this. A lot of young pitchers - and their parents - who think they are fast get to 43 feet and find out 63-64 really isn't all that fast.
Regards,
Scott