Since it appears inevitable that there will be yet another realignment of Texas universities, who wins with regard to softball programs?
* In my opinion, Texas A&M is the clear winner moving to the SEC because it will draw even more top Texas kids as well as recruit among the best Florida and California kids.
* Texas takes a major recruiting hit if it stays in the Big XII because it loses more top in-state kids to Texas A&M. If the Longhorns move to the Pac-10, which seems likely, they get killed unless they do a better job of recruiting in California. If they move to the Big 10, they remain a big time national program only because they will roll the Big 10 every year just with the in-state Texas kids they do manage to keep, but they lose the ability to recruit some of their top California players who will not see the Big 10 as much of a positive as playing in the Big XII. This is especailly true if Oklahoma goes Pac-10.
* Baylor has the most to lose. If the Big XII folds and it lands in the Mountain West or Conference USA, Baylor likely falls quickly from being a perrenial Top 25 team because they lose their ability to recruit the next dominate pitcher, which is where Baylor has build its success. If they go Mountain West, I don't see them being able to compete for in-state or California recruits because of the academic requirement and cost of education. If they go Conference USA, they definitely can't compete for the same kids over the University of Houston because of grades and costs.
* Texas Tech also stands to lose big because it will lose its ability to recruit in-state Texas kids if they go to the Mountain West. Those kids likely will stay local and play in the new WAC or for North Texas. Just don't see the Mountain West as a viable draw for Texas kids. Now that could change if Texas Tcech and Baylor a package deal with say North Texas.
* Houston is a clear winner either way. If they go into the Big XII, which looks unlikely, they upgrade immediately with the ability to recruit better kids out of California and the region and maybe they keep more Houston-area kids who they previously lost to Texas, Txas A&M, and Baylor. If they stay in Conference USA, which has become the best of the mid-majors, UH gets the top kids that Texas/Texas A&M/Baylor pass on for new Cali recruits.
* Texas State, UT-San Antono, and UT-Arlington probably upgraded nationally by moving to the WAC because they will be able to pluck some marginal kids who previously would have gone to Texas/Texas A&M/Baylor/Houston but now get passed over for a California/Florida recruit. They also will get a lot of the top in-state recruits who previously were spread out among the other Southland Conference schools.
* North Texas probably is the least affected but likely will lose some kids to the new WAC schools.
* The Southland Conference is dead as a Division I softball conference either way. In my opinion, they could become a second option to the Lone Star and Heartland Div. II Conferences.


























