0to60in2.5 wrote:How did they determine that born-again Christians from the Bible belt are having a tough time clawing their way into Harvard? Given its a small group and debatable on whether they were all born-again, I can't recall anyone in my high school years pushing for Ivy. Most went on to bible-college. One jumped out of the shell and went to Baylor, another to Clemson.(he was a sinner...) While my experience is probably not the norm I wonder how many applications are received by these schools from some of these groups above.
Answer: a hell of a lot more than are received from urban blacks and hispanics.
"Born again" is simply another way of saying "Evangelical Christian," which is how such people would self-identify. From Wikipedia:
The 2004 survey of religion and politics in the United States identified the evangelical percentage of the population at 26.3 percent while Roman Catholics are 22 percent and mainline Protestants make up 16 percent.[22] In the 2007 Statistical Abstract of the United States, the figures for these same groups are 28.6 percent (evangelical), 24.5 percent (Roman Catholic), and 13.9 percent (mainline Protestant.) The latter figures are based on a 2001 study of the self-described religious identification of the adult population for 1990 and 2001 from the Graduate School and University Center at the City University of New York.[23] A 2008 study showed that in the year 2000 about 9 percent of Americans attended an evangelical service on any given Sunday.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/EvangelicalismSo that's over a quarter of the population...and approaching 50% when you include Catholics, which the author also identifies. Hardly small groups.
Some percentage of evangelicals probably do choose to go elsewhere despite being qualified for the Ivies, but, as you point out, those people wouldn't submit an application in the first place. So if the analysis is done based on submitted applications and the admissions decisions made with respect to each, such self-selection would not skew the results at all. If, on the other hand, the analysis was done on the basis of overall population percentages and relative representation on Ivy campuses, direct sampling and statistical analysis could easily be employed to negate the effects of polluting influences.
Fact is though, most people who qualify for admission to Ivy League schools, evangelical or otherwise, would be willing to attend if admitted--even if it means holding their noses for 4 years in order to get that piece of paper. But if you're poor and/or religious and white, the numbers say that you've got two chances of getting in: slim and none. And slim left town.