I think the Punishers have stepped it up over the past few weeks and are going to be a tough competitor at states as long as they don't lose anyone else.
I talked crap on Punishers several weeks back and I have been eating crow a bit since

I also agree that BB98 will be another top contender especially with the recent pitcher pickup.. I dont think you can consider this team a dark horse though.
In my mind the true Dark Horse will be Rawlings if they can get another pitcher. This is one team that keeps surprising everyone and they do it without the backing of a named organization.
While there is talk around CA98..I don't think they have near the consistency it takes to be a champion. This team just lost to Bonzai this weekend and looking at the posted scores; even the one that was won was a close game. I don't event think Bonzai is a ranked team let alone top 20....
ASA States is Victory and Firecrackers 98 to lose... it is Breakers and Punishers to win and the dark horse will be Rawlings.
Disclaimer: A crystal ball was used to determine the information above.