Remember... the old saying "anyone can get hot and win" is truly wishful thinking...
sure, any team can win on a given day and there will be some upsets for sure... but if a team is going to win the whole thing... they will have to have strong pitching, timely hitting, good coaching, depth and possibly a little luck (probably in that order)...
The best team of the week will work themselves thru a bad draw if need be... During the draw, you will have 4 teams or so not giving a damn where they fall and the rest crossing their fingers and toes... because the good teams know they can withstand it... no one is going to make it thru the week without beating a big boy at some point...
so, when it comes down to it... there are probably only 8 teams (probably less) who have it ALL to sustain a real run through the tournament... without knowing who those teams are, it is safe to say the champion will come out of those teams you all are mentioning...